User talk:Danielravennest/SFP/Notebook3.0

Core capabilities
These are what I think are the NAICS codes for the core capabilities of a nascent seed factory setup, the "knot in the bow-tie" of dependencies - achieving these implies having the most ancillary prerequisites met, and allows one to accomplish the greatest .proportion of the other industry categories. All other industries have lower priority, having either high capital/utility ratio or not being in the critical path. Getting these industries will be more than hard enough without worrying about utilities, construction, mining, refining, chemical plants, commodity parts, hospitals, schools, retail, sending it into space etc. etc. Focusing on anything beyond the core capabilities and the least expensive way of achieving them (that doesn't "paint the system into a corner") before they are achieved will likely keep the seed factory project from success. A full design of a system that can produce anything from semiconductors to smoked salmon is not only unnecessary to do ahead of time, but makes actual implementation much more difficult if not impossible. Even cutting it down to this shortlist will likely require $100M - $10B capital and three to twelve years before a second copy of the self-reproducing part of the factory system can be built using the prototype factory. (Low end assuming mostly COTS tools).

In order of importance:

Core industries:


 * 52 - Finance and Insurance / what makes the world go 'round
 * / equipment-secured lending
 * 5415 - Computer Design: Software, integrated systems, facilities operation
 * / factory software, internal markets, scheduling, accounting, inventory, tool control...
 * 332 - Fabricated Metals (proceeding from fabrication methods/tools with the greatest capability increase for the lowest incremental cost)
 * 333 - Machinery Design and Manufacturing / *** central purpose of the whole project: self-reproducing / high-growth toolset ***
 * / 3335 - Metalworking Machinery
 * / 3332 - Industrial Machinery
 * 5417 - (Research and) Development (and testing of machines and other products)
 * 335 - Electrical Equipment (Motors, circuit boards using outside components; position encoders)
 * 48-49 - Transportation and Warehousing

Some support industries that will need to be implemented along the way:
 * 5511 - Holding Company and Corporate Management
 * 5611 - Office Services
 * 5612 - Facilities Support
 * 533 - Intangible Asset Lease
 * 532 - Rental and Leasing
 * 5413 - Architectural and Engineering Services
 * 8112 - Electronic and Precision Repair
 * 8113 - Commercial and Industrial Repair

Others that may optionally be implemented along the way:
 * 562 - Waste Services
 * 7223 - Remote Food Services
 * 8123 - Dry Cleaning and Laundry

Industries into which the system can start to incorporate after the core capabilities are well implemented:
 * 321 - Wood Products
 * 337 - Furniture Products
 * 236 - Construction of Buildings
 * 2383 - Building Finishing
 * 2373 - Highway, Street, and Bridge Construction
 * 323 - Printing and Related
 * 336 - Transport Equipment
 * 2213 - Water, Sewage, Steam, Other Utilities
 * 2211 - Electric Power: Generation, transmission, distribution.
 * 517 - Telecommunications
 * 2123 - Mineral Mining and Quarrying
 * 327 - Mineral Products
 * 313 - Textiles
 * 315 - Apparel
 * 3162 - Footwear
 * 927 - Space

Non-essential industries should wait until they're easy to do and profitable.
 * (This is all my best guess / intuition, written in the hope it will help get a Seed Factory system actually working.)

-E.H. / MUltan 173.46.77.183 (discuss) 00:12, 18 March 2017 (UTC)